Rank: Newbie
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Joined: 8/16/2011(UTC)
Posts: 7
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Hi guys
I wanna try and see if that works. I have noticed an enormous rate of away wins this season in the Championship. My guess is simply that the crowds in the Championship aren’t near the numbers they are in the Premier League, therefore there isn’t really a home advantage. And the odds always favour the home team even though the teams are probably of similar strength and form. I will just try to play the AH 0.5 (Draw and away win) on the away team to see where that would go. Of course, because I am starting this week (after 2 weeks of loooots of away wins) it will be a total failure, but I will stick with it for a few weeks. So, please don’t copy my tips just yet.
Here we go then:
20.08. 15:00 Brighton - Blackpool Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.82 Dafabet
20.08. 15:00 Bristol City - Portsmouth Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle
20.08. 15:00 Burnley - Cardiff Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle
20.08. 15:00 Coventry - Watford Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle
20.08. 15:00 Derby - Doncaster Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.18 Dafabet
20.08. 15:00 Hull - Crystal Palace Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.04 188Bet
20.08. 15:00 Nottingham - Leicester Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.61 Pinnacle
20.08. 15:00 Reading - Barnsley Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.64 Pinnacle
20.08. 15:00 Southampton - Millwall Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.14 Pinnacle
20.08. 17:20 Peterborough - Ipswich Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.68 Pinnacle
21.08. 13:15 West Ham - Leeds Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.25 Victor Chandler
21.08. 15:00 Middlesbrough - Birmingham Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.85 Pinnacle
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Rank: Member
Groups: Registered
Joined: 5/7/2011(UTC)
Posts: 21
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Hi Douggie,
sorry to write in your diary, just wanna say it is very interesting, but for me it is too much luck. Because it can easily go the other way. But good luck fir it.
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Rank: Newbie
Groups: Registered
Joined: 8/16/2011(UTC)
Posts: 7
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@Lucka
The factor of luck is probably bigger than with other strategies, but it is defenitely with a try. And yesterday actually got me a nice little profit. Still 2 games to go today.
20.08. 15:00 Brighton - Blackpool Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.82 Dafabet 2:2 +0.82
20.08. 15:00 Bristol City - Portsmouth Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle 0:0 +0.6
20.08. 15:00 Burnley - Cardiff Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle 1:1 +0.6
20.08. 15:00 Coventry - Watford Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle 0:0 +0.6
20.08. 15:00 Derby - Doncaster Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.18 Dafabet 3:0 -1
20.08. 15:00 Hull - Crystal Palace Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.04 188Bet 0:1 +1.04
20.08. 15:00 Nottingham - Leicester Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.61 Pinnacle 2:2 +0.61
20.08. 15:00 Reading - Barnsley Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.64 Pinnacle 1:2 +1.64
20.08. 15:00 Southampton - Millwall Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.14 Pinnacle 1:0 -1
20.08. 17:20 Peterborough - Ipswich Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.68 Pinnacle 7:1 -1
21.08. 13:15 West Ham - Leeds Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.25 Victor Chandler
21.08. 15:00 Middlesbrough - Birmingham Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.85 Pinnacle
So far I got a profit of +2.91 units, lets wait for the last 2 games, but I will defenitely get a profit, which is nice toknow :-)
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Rank: Newbie
Groups: Registered
Joined: 8/16/2011(UTC)
Posts: 7
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Ok, that was not a bad start at all. Here is the complete evaluation:
20.08. 15:00 Brighton - Blackpool Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.82 Dafabet 2:2 +0.82
20.08. 15:00 Bristol City - Portsmouth Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle 0:0 +0.6
20.08. 15:00 Burnley - Cardiff Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle 1:1 +0.6
20.08. 15:00 Coventry - Watford Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.6 Pinnacle 0:0 +0.6
20.08. 15:00 Derby - Doncaster Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.18 Dafabet 3:0 -1
20.08. 15:00 Hull - Crystal Palace Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.04 188Bet 0:1 +1.04
20.08. 15:00 Nottingham - Leicester Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.61 Pinnacle 2:2 +0.61
20.08. 15:00 Reading - Barnsley Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.64 Pinnacle 1:2 +1.64
20.08. 15:00 Southampton - Millwall Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.14 Pinnacle 1:0 -1
20.08. 17:20 Peterborough - Ipswich Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.68 Pinnacle 7:1 -1
21.08. 13:15 West Ham - Leeds Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 2.25 Victor Chandler 2:2 +1.25
21.08. 15:00 Middlesbrough - Birmingham Tip: Team 2 +AH 0.5 odds: 1.85 Pinnacle 3:1 -1
That gives me an overall profit of +3.16 units. That is a very good result considering the comparably small odds. Last weekend there were bigger upsets with much bigger odds. I will continue to keep this deary and see if there is any money to be made over a few month.
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